Trump tariffs: Tariffs not the endgame, just opening moves: Rajeev Agrawal

Trump tariffs: Tariffs not the endgame, just opening strikes: Rajeev Agrawal

“It’s still early days. As we all know, Trump is a tough negotiator, and we must recognize that these are not final decisions—these are just the opening moves. I hear a lot of commentary from people taking extreme positions on either side, but I personally believe this is an opportunity for high-level negotiations to resolve the matter,” says Rajeev Agrawal, DoorDarshi India Fund.

Given that former President Trump had been hinting at extra levies for some time, and now we’re seeing motion on that entrance, do you consider these developments are a part of a broader geopolitical technique reasonably than just a commerce dispute? And how ought to India view these preliminary strikes—are they threats or openings for strategic negotiation, particularly contemplating the strong democratic and financial alignment between India and the US?
Rajeev Agrawal: This has been constructing for just a little while, with Mr. Trump giving loads of indications that there could be extra levies. It just wasn’t clear what precisely they’d be. What this successfully means is that Trump isn’t just bargaining on commerce, however also on how your complete geopolitical institution views who’s shopping for what.

It’s still early days. As everyone knows, Trump is a tricky negotiator, and we must acknowledge that these usually are not ultimate selections—these are just the opening strikes. I hear loads of commentary from individuals taking excessive positions on both aspect, however I personally consider this is a chance for high-level negotiations to resolve the matter.

Ultimately, India and the US are pure companions when it comes to how our methods function. We’re each capitalistic, democratic nations, and there’s a lot we are able to collaborate on. Trade obstacles like these shouldn’t get in the way in which of the long-term future we are able to construct together.

As you had been saying, it might really function a possibility. I needed to know—what do you make of the timing of this latest announcement of a 50% tariff? NSA Ajit Doval is in Russia for the time being, and Trump’s feedback are coming now, while on August twenty fifth, a US delegation is scheduled to go to India to debate this matter additional. The tariffs take impact only on August twenty seventh. So, what do you make of this timeline? What does it counsel about the future of ties between the 2 nations?
Rajeev Agrawal: That’s a really important level you’ve got raised. There are 21 days from now until the tariffs take impact, and there’s still loads of room for constructive developments in that window. We have the US commerce delegation coming, and naturally, India and the US have been in fixed communication by means of again channels.Live OccasionsThe fact that India’s Prime Minister can be attending the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) assembly also offers India some leverage—since this entails participating with one of many US’s key global opponents, particularly China, on Chinese soil. That provides a layer of flexibility.

But clearly, the concept must be for each nations to maneuver ahead in a approach that’s mutually useful. So, the timing suggests to me that there’s still vital room for negotiation.

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