Weekly new jobless claims dip but unemployment rate likely remains

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Weekly new jobless claims dip but unemployment rate likely remains

Americans filed fewer new claims for jobless advantages last week in a shock dip, signaling layoffs stay low — but don’t pop the champagne yet.

The unemployment rate likely remained stubbornly high in December as employers slammed the brakes on hiring, though month-to-month figures gained’t be out there until next month.

Initial claims for state unemployment advantages dropped for a second straight week, falling by 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 214,000 for the week ended Dec. 20, the Labor Department said Wednesday.

Initial claims for state unemployment advantages dropped for a second straight week, falling by 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 214,000 for the week ended Dec. 20, the Labor Department said Wednesday. AP

The figures had been better than anticipated, according to Reuters, which forecast 224,000 claims for the latest week.

Still, the job market is caught in what economists name a grim holding sample of “no hiring, no firing.”

While the broader financial system has been chugging alongside — with the nation’s gross home product rising at its quickest clip in two years in the third quarter — employers have been holding off on increasing their workforces.

“Unless companies actually fire workers, the economy will continue to move forward at a moderate pace,” Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at Fwdbonds, told Reuters.

The Labor Department launched the latest numbers a day sooner than common because of Thursday’s Christmas vacation.

Officials say the year-end vacation rush can throw off seasonal changes, muddying the true image of the job market.

The unemployment rate likely remained stubbornly high in December as as employers slammed the brakes on hiring. Getty Images

Experts point to President Trump’s import tariffs and immigration crackdown as squeezing each the provide of staff and demand for new hires.

Meanwhile, the ranks of Americans amassing unemployment checks after their first week of assist — a key signal of hiring exercise — jumped by 38,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.9 million in the week ending Dec. 13, according to the latest report.

The so-called continued claims — which cowl the window the authorities surveyed households to calculate December’s unemployment rate — fell marginally between the November and December survey weeks.

The unemployment rate climbed to a four-year high of 4.6% in November, though a part of that rise was chalked as much as technical elements tied to the 43-day authorities shutdown. Getty Images

Those stubbornly high numbers observe with a dark Conference Board survey launched Tuesday revealing that Americans really feel worse about the job market than at any point since early 2021.

The unemployment rate climbed to a four-year high of 4.6% in November, though a part of that rise was chalked as much as technical elements tied to the 43-day authorities shutdown.

“Continued claims remain at a level consistent with a slow pace of hiring but aren’t sending a signal that hiring conditions have gotten worse,” said Nancy Vanden Houten, lead US economist at Oxford Economics.

Thousands of federal staff filed for unemployment advantages during the authorities shutdown, which ended last month. For the week ended Dec. 13, the latest interval for which data had been out there, there have been 805 new unemployment claims by ex-federal staff, according to the Labor Department.



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