Championship predictions and best bets: Middlesbrough to take a step…

Championship predictions and best bets: Middlesbrough to take a step…

Our soccer betting skilled and top tipster Jones Knows presents up his perception on every Sky Bet Championship match on Good Friday and shares his best bets.

Middlesbrough vs Millwall, Friday 12.30pm, live on Sky Sports

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Are Middlesbrough wobbling at the worst potential time?

They’ve received just two of their last seven Championship matches, that means a seven-point hole to Ipswich now stands at just two. And who’s this developing on the rails? It’s only Millwall, who can leapfrog Middlesbrough by taking three factors. It’s getting severe up there.

One key facet to Boro’s type of late is that the underlying data across the last seven games is still very strong. Over those seven games they’ve received every anticipated targets battle very comfortably and their xG supremacy determine is +1.4 per game which is a mighty return. One you’d affiliate with a team profitable a title.

With a little little bit of variance due of their course they need to get again on the promotion practice right here.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

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The Sky Sports Essential EFL podcast seems to be at the promotion race in the Championship

Birmingham vs Blackburn, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports+

If you are on the lookout for a punchy angle into this one, the first-half markets may very well be the place to play, particularly with Birmingham’s tendency to come flying out of the traps at St Andrew’s.

There’s a actually strong data angle right here that makes the 6/4 with Sky Bet on Birmingham to be profitable at half-time stand out as a wager value your consideration.

No team in the Championship can better their anticipated targets determine before the break, which sits at a chunky 18.58. And it isn’t just underlying data doing the speaking. Only Hull City and Ipswich have scored more dwelling targets before half-time, placing Birmingham proper at the top desk when it comes to turning that intent into precise strain.

This is not about backing Birmingham outright over 90 minutes, the place inconsistency can creep in. It’s about isolating a clear strength of fast begins and attacking a particular market that performs proper into it.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Charlton vs Bristol City, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports+

There are some appointments in soccer that make you sit up and take discover. Then there are some that make you scratch your head and marvel what on earth is happening.

Enter Roy Hodgson.

His arrival at Bristol City – 44 years after he first left the club – has all the hallmarks of a transfer designed to generate headlines slightly than fast outcomes.

Hodgson himself has admitted he would not know a nice deal about the current squad, which is hardly excellent preparation heading into a competitive Championship fixture. Add the fact he inherits a group stretched by accidents and you have bought a supervisor bounce that seems to be weak slightly than revitalised. Home win it’s at 23/20 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0

Leicester vs Preston, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports+

Motivation is all the things at this stage of the Championship season and you will not discover a greater distinction than what we have got right here.

On one facet, you have bought Leicester City scrapping for his or her lives. On the other, Preston North End drifting in direction of the ending line with little or no left to play for.

Leicester’s scenario is simple: outcomes are all the things.

Performances can take a again seat if wanted: it is about digging in, discovering moments and getting factors on the board. That’s the place the affect of Gary Rowett might show pivotal. Throughout his profession, he is constructed a repute for setting groups up to grind out outcomes, significantly in high-pressure conditions just like this one. It’s not always fairly, however it’s often efficient.

A low scoring dwelling win please.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

Norwich vs Portsmouth, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports+

No team has earned more Championship factors since Christmas than Norwich City, posting 12 wins from 17 matches as Philippe Clement has overseen a exceptional turnaround.

The Canaries have saved seven clear sheets in 12 league games, conceding just 5 targets in that run. The outcomes have been backed up by the data.

Yet the market is dangling Evens with Sky Bet against struggling Portsmouth, who’ve misplaced three on the spin, 5 of their past six and have just been pumped 6-1 by QPR. Ebou Adams, Pompey’s key man, is also out with injury for the journey to Carrow Road. The dwelling win is a very beneficiant worth.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Norwich to win (Evens with Sky Bet)

Oxford vs Hull, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports Football – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

This is a good match-up for Oxford by way of set-pieces. They’ve created 3.6 value of anticipated targets from set-pieces of their last 5 games – accounting for over 65 per cent of their complete xG output. So this is a team that provides you a nice run in your cash while you’re backing the typical set-piece based markets.

Hull have conceded the second most xG from set-pieces this season at 18.05 and have conceded 15 targets by way of that route. Michal Helik is the man to again then at 10/1 to score with Sky Bet.

He’s had six photographs in his last 5 begins, including opening the scoring in Oxford’s 3-1 win at Preston. Helik has also scored 3 times in seven begins against Hull.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Michal Helik to score (10/1 with Sky Bet)

QPR vs Watford, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports+

Both groups to score and over 2.5 targets charges as a cracking wager right here at Evens with Sky Bet.

Loftus Road is the highest-scoring Championship venue this time period, averaging 3.47 targets per game with 79 per cent of those contests producing over 2.5 targets.

Both groups to score has clicked in all 4 of Edward Still’s matches in control of Watford on the highway with the per-game common coming in at a healthy 3.25 targets. Both groups are anticipated to deliver the noise and attacking intent in what may very well be a enjoyable and goal-heavy encounter.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Over 2.5 targets & BTTS (Evens with Sky Bet)

Sheffield United vs Swansea, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports+

There’s a strong case for opposing clear sheets at Bramall Lane proper now and that leads us properly into a juicy goalscorer angle.

The hosts have gone 9 games at dwelling without a clear sheet.

Whether it is structural points or lapses in focus, groups are discovering methods by way of them with alarming regularity. So, in case you’re buying in the anytime goalscorer market, it is sensible to latch onto the top goalscorer in the division at 11/4 with Sky Bet to fireplace again in Zan Vipotnik.

The Swansea striker has 17 targets this season and there’s nothing fluky about the return. His motion in the box is sharp, he will get repeat probabilities and he is shown he could be medical when those alternatives fall his method.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Stoke vs Sheffield Wednesday, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports+

Stoke City have quietly changed into one in every of the more watchable – and backable – groups in the division over the past few weeks, and a lot of that could be traced again to the return of the elegant Million Manhoef.

Since he got here again into the fold seven games in the past, Stoke’s attacking output has discovered a new gear. The numbers inform the story: those seven matches have averaged a hefty 3.7 targets per game, with six of the seven clearing the over 2.5 targets line. That’s not coincidence, that’s a team playing with more intent and danger. It’s main to cumbersome targets outputs.

The key right here will not be just backing targets blindly, however aligning that pattern with a Stoke facet who’ve the edge in high quality and momentum over a rudderless Sheffield Wednesday.

That’s why the 10/11 with Sky Bet for a Stoke win and over 2.5 targets makes loads of attraction.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

West Brom vs Wrexham, Friday 3pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Backing centre-backs to get on the scoresheet stays a real favorite punting pastime of mine.

George Campbell is playing with confidence and arriving in the box with intent to score at the minute – as seen by his return of three targets in his last six games. It’s a sample pushed by elevated attacking duty from set-pieces and a team playing with renewed power under new boss James Morrison. He has breathed life into a facet that seemed destined for bother not too way back. Suddenly, West Brom are playing with function, perception and have given themselves a real shot at survival.

Campbell is 10/1 with Sky Bet to score.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Coventry vs Derby, Friday 8pm, live on Sky Sports Football – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

There’s a time in every promotion push the place the equation turns into crystal clear: just win games and the relaxation takes care of itself.

That’s precisely the place Coventry City discover themselves. Charging in direction of the Championship title, they know 11 factors from their final seven matches will likely be sufficient to seal a return to the Premier League for the first time in 25 years. It’s a goal that sharpens the thoughts and, more often than not, brings out decisive performances.

Friday third April 7:30pm

Kick off 8:00pm

Derby will point to a stable away document of 9 wins on the highway in the Championship. But dig a little deeper and there’s a clear pink flag.

None of those victories have come against groups beginning this round in the top half. They have a tendency to lose their method up against the best groups in this division. At 11/8 with Sky Bet, backing Coventry to win and over 2.5 targets seems to be like the candy spot. If they do get on top, historical past suggests they will not just edge it, they will look to put the game to mattress in type.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Coventry to win & over 2.5 targets (11/8 with Sky Bet)

Jones Knows’ best bets…

1pt treble on: Norwich to win, over 2.5 targets & BTTS in QPR vs Watford & Coventry to win & over 2.5 targets (8/1 with Sky Bet)

1pt on Michal Helik to score (10/1 with Sky Bet)

1pt on George Campbell to score (10/1 with Sky Bet)

0.5pt double on Helik & Campbell to score (100/1 with Sky Bet)

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