2026 Oscars Best Original Song Predictions

Variety Awards Circuit part is the residence for all awards news and associated content throughout the yr, that includes the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages replicate the current standings in the race and don’t replicate private preferences for any particular person contender. As other formal (and casual) polls recommend, competitions are fluid and topic to alter based on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date every Thursday.

Oscars Best Original Song Commentary (Updated March 10, 2026): All indicators are pointing to “Golden” from Netflix’s “KPop Demon Hunters” working away with best unique track.

Making historical past as the first Okay-pop track nominated for an Oscar, “Golden” is carried out by Huntr/x — members EJAE, Audrey Nuna and Rei Ami — and written by EJAE, Mark Sonnenblick, DO, 24 and Teddy Park. The movie is Netflix’s most well-liked film of all time, dominating the No. 1 spot for weeks, while three of its songs — “Golden,” “Your Idol” and “Soda Pop” — have been mainstays on the Billboard Hot 100. The track also earned a Grammy nomination for Song of the Year.

So how might it lose?

Still, Variety’s nameless Oscar ballots revealed a notable pocket of assist for “I Lied to You” from “Sinners,” written by Raphael Saadiq and Ludwig Goransson. This race may very well be nearer than anticipated. While we project a “Golden” victory, an upset right here might sign an even bigger evening ahead for Ryan Coogler’s record-breaking movie.

As for 16-time nominee Diane Warren, she’ll probably have to attend another yr for her long-coveted competitive Oscar.

Final predictions are below. Each class will probably be up to date throughout the week main as much as the 98th Oscars, set for Sunday, March 15, and hosted by Conan O’Brien.